Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 15:00·BUF 0, MIA 13

   (15:00) 64-D.Brunskill reported in as eligible. 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep right to 17-J.Waddle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-31-M.Hairston, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +8pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:24·BUF 0, MIA 0

   (7:24) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane right tackle pushed ob at BUF 35 for 15 yards (24-C.Bishop). PENALTY on BUF-24-C.Bishop, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 35.

   +8pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:05·BUF 0, MIA 16

   (6:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 9-I.Melifonwu at MIA -2. Touchback.

   +6pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:19·BUF 6, MIA 16

   (7:19) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left tackle to MIA 44 for 15 yards (20-J.Brooks; 23-J.Jones). FUMBLES (20-J.Brooks), RECOVERED by MIA-29-M.Fitzpatrick at MIA 38.

   +6pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q4 · 12:44·BUF 6, MIA 16

   (12:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 0-K.Coleman for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +5pp

   BUF