Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:52·JAX 26, SF 21

   (2:52) 13-B.Purdy sacked at SF 43 for -7 yards (91-A.Armstead). FUMBLES (91-A.Armstead), RECOVERED by JAX-23-F.Oluokun at SF 47. JAX-52-D.Hamilton was injured during the play.

   +19pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:35·JAX 26, SF 21

   (3:35) 39-C.Little 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

   +15pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q2 · 15:00·JAX 0, SF 3

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 89-L.Farrell to SF 46 for 11 yards (47-D.Gardeck) [98-D.Smoot]. FUMBLES (47-D.Gardeck), RECOVERED by JAX-42-A.Wingard at SF 48.

   +13pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:50·JAX 6, SF 3

   (14:50) 1-T.Etienne left end for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:14·JAX 17, SF 14

   (6:14) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle intended for 15-J.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Lloyd (94-M.Smith) at SF 36. 0-D.Lloyd to SF 28 for 8 yards (88-J.Tonges; 68-C.McKivitz). ** Injury Update: SF-15-J.Jennings has returned to the game.

   +13pp

   JAX