Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:10·ARI 22, MIN 16

   (2:10) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to ARI 21 for 12 yards (53-B.Browning) [54-X.Thomas].

   +22pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:24·ARI 3, MIN 3

   (1:24) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to MIN 19 for 5 yards (53-B.Browning, 23-S.Murphy-Bunting). FUMBLES (23-S.Murphy-Bunting), RECOVERED by ARI-98-R.Lopez at MIN 19.

   +16pp

   ARI
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:40·ARI 22, MIN 23

   (:40) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right intended for 18-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 1-S.Griffin [52-Ji.Ward] at MIN 45. 1-S.Griffin to MIN 45 for no gain (18-M.Harrison).

   +15pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:53·ARI 22, MIN 23

   (:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at ARI 27 for -8 yards (58-J.Greenard). FUMBLES (58-J.Greenard), and recovers at ARI 27.

   +13pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 14:10·ARI 19, MIN 13

   (14:10) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 18-J.Jefferson to ARI 42 for 30 yards (2-Ma.Wilson).

   +11pp

   MIN