Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:49·KC 17, LV 13

   (5:49) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Moehrig (95-J.Jenkins) at KC 15. 7-T.Moehrig to KC 3 for 12 yards (62-J.Thuney).

   +21pp

   LVR
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:31·KC 17, LV 13

   (3:31) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at KC 8 for -5 yards (98-T.Wharton).

   +16pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:06·KC 20, LV 13

   (8:06) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at LV 37 for 0 yards (69-M.Pennel). FUMBLES (69-M.Pennel) [69-M.Pennel], RECOVERED by KC-23-D.Tranquill at LV 41. 23-D.Tranquill to LV 38 for 3 yards (74-K.Miller).

   +13pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:44·KC 17, LV 13

   (12:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end to LV 42 for 14 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao).

   +10pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·KC 13, LV 10

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   KAN