Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 13:48·KC 27, LV 17

   (13:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:08·KC 21, LV 14

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass deep right to 16-J.Meyers to KC 20 for 33 yards (22-T.McDuffie).

   +11pp

   LVR
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:30·KC 13, LV 14

   (:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 84-Ju.Watson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-84-Ju.Watson, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +10pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:51·KC 0, LV 13

   (12:51) 8-J.Jacobs left end for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   LVR
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:37·KC 0, LV 0

   (13:37) 4-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at KC 34 for 33 yards (38-L.Sneed).

   +8pp

   LVR