Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:00·DET 28, MIN 29

   (6:00) 5-D.Montgomery left tackle to DET 35 for 5 yards (44-J.Metellus; 24-C.Bynum). FUMBLES (44-J.Metellus), RECOVERED by MIN-0-I.Pace at DET 36. 0-I.Pace for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-60-G.Glasgow, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +42pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:19·DET 31, MIN 29

   (:19) 39-J.Bates 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

   +30pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:01·DET 31, MIN 29

   (:01) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at MIN 39 for -6 yards (53-T.Nowaske).

   +26pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:44·DET 13, MIN 10

   (8:44) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 14-A.St. Brown for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:47·DET 21, MIN 16

   (10:47) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   MIN