Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:47·CIN 17, KC 13

   (7:47) 61-C.Ford reported in as eligible. 28-J.Mixon up the middle to KC 9 for -3 yards (50-W.Gay).

   +14pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:30·CIN 17, KC 16

   (1:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 4-R.Rice to CIN 11 for 67 yards (23-D.Hill).

   +14pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:00·CIN 17, KC 13

   (7:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 84-Ju.Watson to CIN 44 for 41 yards (27-J.Battle; 20-D.Turner). Penalty on CIN-23-D.Hill, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +13pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:35·CIN 17, KC 13

   (6:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice to CIN 15 for 24 yards (27-J.Battle).

   +11pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:02·CIN 17, KC 13

   (10:02) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass incomplete deep left to 5-T.Higgins. PENALTY on KC-2-J.Williams, Defensive Pass Interference, 30 yards, enforced at KC 45 - No Play.

   +10pp

   CIN