Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:17·TEN 3, TB 7

   (12:17) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to TEN 8 for 43 yards (21-R.McCreary).

   +11pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:49·TEN 3, TB 6

   (5:49) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-J.Simmons].

   +10pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 12:44·TEN 3, TB 0

   (12:44) 6-N.Folk 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

   +10pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:17·TEN 3, TB 0

   (7:17) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to TEN 37 for 20 yards (26-K.Fulton).

   +8pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:17·TEN 3, TB 0

   (5:17) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle intended for 83-D.Thompkins INTERCEPTED by 21-R.McCreary at TEN -1. 21-R.McCreary to TEN 17 for 18 yards (83-D.Thompkins; 14-C.Godwin).

   +8pp

   TEN