Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:19·JAX 30, NO 24

   (3:19) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +33pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:42·JAX 24, NO 22

   (6:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 13-M.Thomas for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:25·JAX 31, NO 24

   (:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 12-C.Olave (30-M.Brown).

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:44·JAX 7, NO 0

   (3:44) 39-L.Hedley punts 40 yards to JAX 15, Center-49-Z.Wood. 29-T.Campbell MUFFS catch, touched at JAX 19, RECOVERED by NO-28-L.Johnson at JAX 17. JAX-39-J.Agnew was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +12pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:38·JAX 24, NO 24

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 41-A.Kamara is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +12pp

   NOR