Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:12·JAX 16, NO 17

   2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:44·JAX 6, NO 10

   (7:44) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass deep left to 11-R.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:01·JAX 17, NO 30

   (9:01) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie [98-R.Wynn] at NO 25. 34-M.McKenzie for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:12·JAX 10, NO 10

   (1:12) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 83-B.Miller to JAX 2 for 57 yards (26-S.Knight).

   +14pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:48·JAX 7, NO 10

   (4:48) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right to 32-M.Jones-Drew pushed ob at NO 48 for 22 yards (34-M.McKenzie). PENALTY on NO-34-M.McKenzie, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NO 48.

   +13pp

   JAX