Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:01·PIT 0, HOU 7

   (5:01) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep middle intended for 19-C.Austin INTERCEPTED by 21-S.Nelson at HOU 22. 21-S.Nelson to PIT 45 for 33 yards (11-A.Robinson). Penalty on PIT-76-C.Okorafor, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty on HOU-42-C.Littleton, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty on PIT-14-G.Pickens, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting.

   +7pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:23·PIT 0, HOU 0

   (12:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 31-D.Pierce to PIT 12 for 27 yards (39-M.Fitzpatrick).

   +7pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:17·PIT 3, HOU 16

   (7:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass short left to 22-N.Harris to HOU 8 for 32 yards (48-C.Harris). PIT-88-P.Freiermuth was injured during the play. He is Out.

   +6pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:16·PIT 6, HOU 16

   (1:16) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett sacked at HOU 42 for -9 yards (52-J.Greenard). PIT-8-K.Pickett was injured during the play. He is Out.

   +6pp

   HOU