Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:41·JAX 17, IND 20

   (2:41) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 28 for -8 yards (99-D.Buckner). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner) [99-D.Buckner], recovered by JAX-4-T.Bigsby at JAX 35. 4-T.Bigsby to JAX 35 for no gain (44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), RECOVERED by IND-99-D.Buckner at JAX 26. 99-D.Buckner for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the score ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +33pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:33·JAX 14, IND 13

   (11:33) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short left to 11-M.Pittman for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:19·JAX 7, IND 7

   (13:19) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 4-T.Bigsby INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Brown [90-G.Stewart] at IND 41. 38-T.Brown to JAX 25 for 34 yards (4-T.Bigsby). Penalty on JAX-4-T.Bigsby, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +19pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:09·JAX 24, IND 21

   (5:09) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep left intended for 81-M.Alie-Cox INTERCEPTED by 32-Ty.Campbell at IND 44. 32-Ty.Campbell to IND 44 for no gain (11-M.Pittman).

   +17pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:29·JAX 17, IND 14

   (4:29) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 17-E.Engram to IND 49 for no gain (45-E.Speed).

   +13pp

   IND