Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:05·IND 0, JAX 0

   (8:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 7-Z.Jones pushed ob at IND 39 for 8 yards (23-K.Moore).

   +10pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:41·IND 0, JAX 0

   (11:41) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 16-A.Dulin INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins [44-T.Walker] at JAX 22. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 32 for 10 yards (83-K.Granson).

   +9pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:05·IND 0, JAX 0

   (13:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 16-A.Dulin to JAX 40 for 10 yards (26-S.Griffin, 5-A.Cisco) [23-F.Oluokun].

   +6pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:27·IND 0, JAX 6

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:19·IND 0, JAX 0

   (10:19) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-M.Jones to JAX 46 for 12 yards (31-B.Facyson). Penalty on IND-32-J.Blackmon, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +5pp

   JAX