Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·HOU 32, IND 31

   (:02) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger pass incomplete deep middle (1-T.Smith).

   +38pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:41·HOU 16, IND 7

   (10:41) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger pass short middle intended for 35-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 52-J.Greenard [92-R.Green] at IND 39. 52-J.Greenard for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:50·HOU 32, IND 31

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-D.Mills pass to 88-J.Akins is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +21pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:58·HOU 30, IND 31

   (:58) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep middle to 88-J.Akins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-G.Stewart].

   +20pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q3 · 1:00·HOU 24, IND 20

   (1:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle intended for 88-J.Akins INTERCEPTED by 26-R.McLeod at HOU 27. 26-R.McLeod for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   IND