Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:03·MIA 14, NE 16

   (3:03) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right intended for 14-T.Sherfield INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Dugger at MIA 39. 23-K.Dugger for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-5-T.Bridgewater was injured during the play. NE 23-Dugger 3rd def. TD of season, 1st Patriot to do that since 1970. Patriots 7th defensive TD of season, new franchise record. Patriots defensive TD in 4 straight games, new franchise record (first NFL occurence since TB 2002).

   +24pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:06·MIA 14, NE 16

   (1:06) (Shotgun) 19-S.Thompson pass short left to 31-R.Mostert to MIA 47 for 17 yards (3-J.Peppers, 27-M.Bryant). PENALTY on NE-8-J.Bentley, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 47.

   +17pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q4 · 14:24·MIA 14, NE 16

   (14:24) (Shotgun) 19-S.Thompson pass short left intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 31-Jo.Jones at NE 35. 31-Jo.Jones pushed ob at NE 37 for 2 yards (10-T.Hill).

   +16pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:41·MIA 7, NE 7

   (8:41) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right to 31-R.Mostert to NE 36 for 25 yards (55-J.Uche).

   +13pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:03·MIA 7, NE 7

   (12:03) 10-M.Jones sacked at MIA 45 for -12 yards (52-E.Roberts).

   +12pp

   MIA