Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:35·MIA 17, NE 16

   (3:35) 37-D.Harris right tackle to MIA 9 for 2 yards (25-X.Howard, 55-J.Baker). FUMBLES (25-X.Howard), RECOVERED by MIA-25-X.Howard at MIA 9. NE 37-Harris 4th career 100-yard game.

   +36pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 8:17·MIA 17, NE 16

   (8:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right intended for 2-A.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Jones [9-M.Judon] at 50. 31-J.Jones to 50 for no gain (88-M.Gesicki).

   +13pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:24·MIA 17, NE 16

   (2:24) MIA 14-Brissett now at QB. 14-J.Brissett up the middle to MIA 31 for 2 yards (8-J.Bentley, 92-D.Godchaux).

   +11pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:40·MIA 7, NE 0

   (3:40) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 48 for 9 yards (21-E.Rowe). FUMBLES (21-E.Rowe), RECOVERED by MIA-92-Z.Sieler at NE 48. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +11pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q3 · 14:17·MIA 10, NE 10

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep right to 11-D.Parker pushed ob at NE 43 for 30 yards (27-J.Jackson).

   +10pp

   MIA