Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:10·PIT 7, CAR 0

   (1:10) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 88-T.Marshall to PIT 7 for 40 yards (42-J.Pierre).

   +13pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:12·PIT 7, CAR 7

   (10:12) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 14-G.Pickens ran ob at CAR 18 for 38 yards.

   +13pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:19·PIT 7, CAR 6

   (14:19) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 2-D.Moore for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:43·PIT 7, CAR 0

   (3:43) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 2-D.Moore to CAR 41 for 14 yards (20-C.Sutton).

   +7pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:03·PIT 14, CAR 7

   (9:03) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 18-D.Johnson ran ob at CAR 19 for 18 yards (21-J.Chinn). Penalty on CAR-21-J.Chinn, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +6pp

   PIT