Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:20·PIT 16, CAR 6

   (5:20) 26-L.Bell right guard to CAR 11 for 81 yards (21-T.DeCoud).

   +11pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 11:17·PIT 29, CAR 13

   (11:17) 9-B.Wing punts 59 yards to CAR 12, Center-60-G.Warren. 16-C.Brown MUFFS catch, and recovers at CAR 13. 16-C.Brown to CAR 10 for -3 yards (29-S.Thomas). FUMBLES (29-S.Thomas), touched at CAR 3, RECOVERED by PIT-21-R.Golden at CAR -4. TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:03·PIT 9, CAR 3

   (:03) 6-S.Suisham 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-9-B.Wing.

   +11pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:38·PIT 0, CAR 3

   (2:38) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep middle to 85-D.Heyward-Bey. PENALTY on CAR-21-T.DeCoud, Defensive Pass Interference, 42 yards, enforced at PIT 25 - No Play. Penalty on CAR-95-C.Johnson, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:42·PIT 9, CAR 3

   (12:42) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 17 for -8 yards (95-J.Jones). FUMBLES (95-J.Jones) [95-J.Jones], RECOVERED by PIT-93-J.Worilds at CAR 17. 93-J.Worilds to CAR 17 for no gain (75-F.Velasco). The Replay Official challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +10pp

   PIT