Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:57·MIA 19, BUF 21

   (12:57) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 17-J.Waddle for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:47·MIA 26, BUF 21

   (14:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 45 for -4 yards (15-J.Phillips). FUMBLES (15-J.Phillips) [15-J.Phillips], RECOVERED by MIA-94-C.Wilkins at BUF 49. 94-C.Wilkins to BUF 47 for 2 yards (77-D.Quessenberry).

   +17pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:05·MIA 19, BUF 21

   (4:05) 4-T.Morstead punts 43 yards to BUF 7, Center-44-B.Ferguson, fair catch by 20-N.Hines. PENALTY on BUF-39-C.Lewis, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.

   +16pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:02·MIA 29, BUF 32

   (:02) 2-T.Bass 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin. Penalty on MIA-27-K.Crossen, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +16pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:05·MIA 3, BUF 7

   (1:05) 31-R.Mostert right tackle to BUF 8 for 67 yards (7-T.Johnson). PENALTY on BUF-7-T.Johnson, Horse Collar Tackle, 4 yards, enforced at BUF 8.

   +16pp

   MIA