Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:48·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (10:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 13-G.Davis (24-By.Jones). Miami challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 24-By.Jones at BUF 41. 24-By.Jones ran ob at BUF 41 for no gain.

   +11pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:56·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (8:56) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at BUF 31 for -9 yards (49-T.Edmunds).

   +7pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:31·MIA 3, BUF 7

   (8:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 46 for 16 yards (28-B.McCain). PENALTY on MIA-94-C.Wilkins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 46.

   +6pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:14·MIA 3, BUF 6

   (12:14) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 19-I.McKenzie for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:05·MIA 3, BUF 13

   (7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 19-I.McKenzie for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-92-Z.Sieler, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +6pp

   BUF