Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·BAL 27, JAX 28

   (:02) 9-J.Tucker 67 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

   +41pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:49·BAL 19, JAX 17

   (5:49) (Shotgun) 35-G.Edwards right guard to BAL 10 for 4 yards (42-A.Wingard). FUMBLES (42-A.Wingard), RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at BAL 16.

   +30pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:14·BAL 27, JAX 28

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-T.Lawrence pass to 7-Z.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +29pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:04·BAL 19, JAX 20

   (4:04) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 15-D.Jackson to JAX 23 for 62 yards (2-R.Jenkins).

   +28pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:18·BAL 27, JAX 26

   (:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-M.Jones for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +25pp

   JAX