Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:31·BAL 16, JAX 17

   (5:31) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 88-D.Pitta INTERCEPTED by 39-T.Gipson at JAX 39. 39-T.Gipson to BAL 31 for 30 yards (10-C.Moore).

   +25pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:11·BAL 16, JAX 14

   (9:11) (Punt formation) 3-B.Nortman punts 35 yards to BAL 39, Center-46-C.Tinker. 14-D.Hester MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-16-D.Robinson at BAL 39. 16-D.Robinson to BAL 39 for no gain (14-D.Hester).

   +23pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:27·BAL 16, JAX 17

   (3:27) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 29-J.Forsett INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny (56-D.Fowler) at BAL 33. 51-P.Posluszny to BAL 33 for no gain (66-R.Jensen). Penalty on BAL-89-S.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting. Penalty on JAX-20-J.Ramsey, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting.

   +21pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:16·BAL 16, JAX 17

   (4:16) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Young (99-T.Jernigan) at BAL 23. 36-T.Young to BAL 29 for 6 yards (24-T.Yeldon).

   +21pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:06·BAL 16, JAX 17

   (3:06) (Field Goal formation) 2-J.Myers 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-B.Urban), Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman, RECOVERED by BAL-54-Z.Orr at BAL 34. 54-Z.Orr to BAL 43 for 9 yards (93-T.Alualu).

   +19pp

   BAL