Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 4:07·TEN 17, KC 20

   (4:07) 7-H.Butker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

   +29pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q5 · 7:04·TEN 17, KC 17

   (7:04) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 83-N.Gray to TEN 22 for 27 yards (21-R.McCreary).

   +28pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:05·TEN 17, KC 15

   (3:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +26pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q5 · 9:08·TEN 17, KC 17

   (9:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 42 for 18 yards (51-D.Long) [99-R.Weaver].

   +18pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:35·TEN 14, KC 9

   (11:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 21-R.McCreary at KC 38. 21-R.McCreary to KC 34 for 4 yards (87-T.Kelce).

   +18pp

   TEN