Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:07·NYG 23, JAX 17

   (:07) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 13-C.Kirk to NYG 1 for 16 yards (29-X.McKinney, 20-J.Love).

   +21pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:22·NYG 23, JAX 17

   (:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-M.Jones to NYG 32 for 28 yards (20-J.Love). PENALTY on NYG-99-L.Williams, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32.

   +20pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:22·NYG 13, JAX 17

   (6:22) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 84-M.Johnson (31-D.Williams).

   +17pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:35·NYG 10, JAX 11

   (3:35) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to NYG 5 for 12 yards (29-X.McKinney). FUMBLES (29-X.McKinney), RECOVERED by NYG-20-J.Love at NYG -2. Touchback.

   +16pp

   NYG
5. 5
   Q3 · 14:55·NYG 13, JAX 11

   (14:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left end to NYG 24 for 49 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux).

   +12pp

   JAX