Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 13:09·NYG 21, JAX 22

   (13:09) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 84-L.Donnell to NYG 46 for 3 yards (27-D.Gratz). FUMBLES (27-D.Gratz), RECOVERED by JAX-22-A.Colvin at NYG 41. 22-A.Colvin for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +32pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:28·NYG 24, JAX 25

   (:28) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning sacked at NYG 10 for -10 yards (99-S.Marks). FUMBLES (99-S.Marks), RECOVERED by JAX-91-C.Clemons at NYG 9. 91-C.Clemons to NYG 9 for no gain (61-D.Reynolds). Fumble Forced by Clemons The Replay Official challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +25pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:32·NYG 24, JAX 25

   (:32) 10-J.Scobee 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.

   +22pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:27·NYG 24, JAX 22

   (1:27) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles left end to NYG 25 for 20 yards (26-A.Rolle).

   +15pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:35·NYG 24, JAX 22

   (:35) 21-T.Gerhart up the middle to NYG 25 for -4 yards (58-M.Herzlich).

   +11pp

   NYG