Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:24·JAX 20, NYG 23

   (3:24) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 89-K.Boss for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +29pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:34·JAX 20, NYG 24

   (1:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 48 for -8 yards (24-T.Thomas). FUMBLES (24-T.Thomas) [24-T.Thomas], RECOVERED by NYG-26-A.Rolle at JAX 44. 26-A.Rolle to JAX 39 for 5 yards (78-J.Black). Officially a sack for 12 yards.

   +22pp

   NYG
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:49·JAX 17, NYG 15

   (13:49) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 82-M.Manningham for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   NYG
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:42·JAX 17, NYG 17

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 44-A.Bradshaw rushes left tackle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +10pp

   NYG
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:12·JAX 17, NYG 17

   (11:12) 32-M.Jones-Drew left end pushed ob at NYG 37 for 10 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul).

   +10pp

   JAX