Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:55·SF 16, CAR 3

   (:55) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 22-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 4-E.Moseley at CAR 41. 4-E.Moseley for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:32·SF 0, CAR 0

   (12:32) (Shotgun) 22-J.Wilson up the middle pushed ob at CAR 9 for 41 yards (38-M.Hartsfield).

   +13pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:48·SF 10, CAR 3

   (1:48) 9-R.Gould 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (97-Y.Gross-Matos), Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky, RECOVERED by CAR-7-S.Thompson at CAR 21. 7-S.Thompson to CAR 22 for 1 yard (74-S.Burford). FUMBLES (74-S.Burford), and recovers at CAR 22.

   +12pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:20·SF 7, CAR 0

   (7:20) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 85-G.Kittle to SF 45 for 7 yards (57-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (57-D.Wilson), RECOVERED by CAR-97-Y.Gross-Matos at CAR 46. 97-Y.Gross-Matos to CAR 46 for no gain. FUMBLES, and recovers at CAR 44.

   +12pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:20·SF 10, CAR 3

   (7:20) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-B.Aiyuk to 50 for 24 yards (34-S.Chandler).

   +8pp

   SFO