Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:10·CAR 6, SF 0

   (3:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-R.Shepard for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 21. 21-yds YAC

   +15pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:42·CAR 0, SF 0

   (4:42) 2-B.Hoyer sacked at SF 42 for -8 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], RECOVERED by CAR-98-S.Lotulelei at SF 42. 98-S.Lotulelei to SF 42 for no gain (67-D.Kilgore).

   +12pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:03·CAR 7, SF 0

   (10:03) 1-C.Newton pass deep left intended for 13-K.Benjamin INTERCEPTED by 29-J.Tartt [99-D.Buckner] at SF 1. 29-J.Tartt to SF 38 for 37 yards (84-E.Dickson).

   +10pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:33·CAR 13, SF 0

   (14:33) 2-B.Hoyer pass short middle intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at CAR 49. 59-L.Kuechly to SF 28 for 23 yards (2-B.Hoyer).

   +8pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:09·CAR 7, SF 0

   (5:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 22-C.McCaffrey to SF 25 for 15 yards (29-J.Tartt). Caught at SF 30. 5-yds YAC

   +7pp

   CAR