Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:55·CAR 7, SF 9

   (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick). SF-77-M.Iupati was injured during the play. K.Hunter credited with rush of -6 yds. Penalty on SF-75-A.Boone, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +21pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:37·CAR 10, SF 9

   (:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right intended for 82-M.Manningham INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Florence at SF 42. 29-D.Florence to SF 40 for 2 yards.

   +20pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:10·CAR 10, SF 9

   (1:10) 8-B.Nortman punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.Jansen, Touchback.

   +18pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q3 · 3:46·CAR 7, SF 9

   (3:46) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.

   +16pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:47·CAR 7, SF 9

   (13:47) 4-A.Lee punts 44 yards to CAR 31, Center-47-K.McDermott. 19-T.Ginn to SF 44 for 25 yards (57-M.Wilhoite).

   +16pp

   CAR