Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 12:09·CAR 10, NO 12

   (12:09) 3-L.Hajrullahu 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-L.Edwards.

   +17pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 9:35·CAR 10, NO 9

   (9:35) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on NO-7-T.Hill, Intentional Grounding, 9 yards, enforced at CAR 26. Penalty on NO, Illegal Formation, declined. Carolina challenged the spot of a foul ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on NO-7-T.Hill, Intentional Grounding, 13 yards, enforced at CAR 26. Penalty on NO, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +10pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:14·CAR 10, NO 6

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass deep left to 1-M.Callaway to NO 31 for 28 yards (28-K.Taylor). Pass 24, YAC 4

   +10pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:58·CAR 10, NO 6

   (5:58) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass deep left to 1-M.Callaway to CAR 47 for 30 yards (38-M.Hartsfield). Pass 26, YAC 4

   +10pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 0:35·CAR 10, NO 12

   (:35) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 88-T.Marshall pushed ob at NO 42 for 8 yards (29-P.Adebo). Pass 8, YAC 0

   +9pp

   CAR