Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:21·NO 0, CAR 0

   (14:21) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 22-C.McCaffrey to NO 40 for 32 yards (43-M.Williams).

   +8pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:57·NO 0, CAR 7

   (13:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 85-D.Arnold to NO 8 for 19 yards (43-M.Williams; 53-Z.Baun). CAR-60-P.Elflein was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful.

   +7pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 14:43·NO 6, CAR 17

   (14:43) (Shotgun) 2-J.Winston scrambles up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:48·NO 0, CAR 0

   (12:48) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 2-Dj.Moore to NO 20 for 20 yards (56-D.Davis).

   +6pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q3 · 1:42·NO 0, CAR 17

   (1:42) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle intended for 30-C.Hubbard INTERCEPTED by 97-M.Roach [26-P.Williams] at CAR 23. 97-M.Roach to CAR 18 for 5 yards (61-M.Paradis; 65-D.Daley).

   +5pp

   NOR