Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:41·MIA 9, NE 0

   (10:41) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 21-E.Rowe at NE 35. 21-E.Rowe for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:59·MIA 20, NE 23

   (3:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 28-J.White for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-35-W.Aikens was injured during the play.

   +21pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:29·MIA 26, NE 24

   (:29) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:37·MIA 20, NE 17

   (5:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-M.Sanu Sr. to MIA 10 for 22 yards (40-N.Needham).

   +18pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:35·MIA 17, NE 16

   (4:35) 52-E.Roberts reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass short right to 52-E.Roberts for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 540th career TD pass, 2nd all-time (Brees 547). NE 12-Brady 77th different career TD target, extends NFL record (Testaverde 70).

   +18pp

   NWE