Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:08·KC 0, MIA 0

   (9:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-By.Jones (43-A.Van Ginkel) at MIA 23. 24-By.Jones to MIA 38 for 15 yards (14-S.Watkins, 15-P.Mahomes). FUMBLES (14-S.Watkins), recovered by MIA-91-E.Ogbah at MIA 43.

   +19pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q1 · 0:52·KC 0, MIA 7

   (:52) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 25-C.Edwards-Helaire INTERCEPTED by 21-E.Rowe at MIA 31. 21-E.Rowe to KC 47 for 22 yards (17-M.Hardman; 25-C.Edwards-Helaire).

   +13pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:58·KC 20, MIA 10

   (13:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:48·KC 7, MIA 10

   (2:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 42 for 16 yards (29-Br.Jones) [43-A.Van Ginkel]. PENALTY on MIA-90-S.Lawson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at KC 42.

   +11pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:47·KC 0, MIA 0

   (3:47) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 88-M.Gesicki to KC 31 for 14 yards (38-L.Sneed).

   +11pp

   MIA