Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:12·BAL 7, IND 10

   (11:12) (Shotgun) 35-G.Edwards to IND 6 for -3 yards (99-D.Buckner). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner), RECOVERED by IND-53-D.Leonard at IND 7. 53-D.Leonard to IND 10 for 3 yards (35-G.Edwards). FUMBLES (35-G.Edwards), recovered by IND-58-B.Okereke at IND 12. 58-B.Okereke to IND 23 for 11 yards (15-M.Brown).

   +25pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:28·BAL 6, IND 7

   (1:28) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right end to BAL 36 for 9 yards (40-M.Harrison, 24-M.Peters). FUMBLES (24-M.Peters), RECOVERED by BAL-36-C.Clark at BAL 35. 36-C.Clark for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:29·BAL 7, IND 7

   (8:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end to 50 for 8 yards (32-J.Blackmon). PENALTY on IND-32-J.Blackmon, Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact, 15 yards, enforced at 50.

   +10pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:34·BAL 14, IND 10

   (:34) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins right end to IND 39 for 4 yards (37-K.Willis).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:05·BAL 7, IND 10

   (11:05) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass incomplete deep right to 83-M.Johnson (24-M.Peters). Baltimore challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep right intended for 83-M.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at 50. 24-M.Peters to 50 for no gain (83-M.Johnson). FUMBLES (83-M.Johnson), recovered by BAL-36-C.Clark at BAL 46.

   +10pp

   BAL