Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 14:56·BAL 3, IND 13

   (14:56) 4-S.Koch punts 43 yards to IND 15, Center-46-M.Cox. 17-G.Whalen to IND 12 for -3 yards (36-J.Miles). FUMBLES (36-J.Miles), RECOVERED by BAL-50-A.McClellan at IND 12. 50-A.McClellan to IND 12 for no gain (31-D.McDonald). The Replay Official challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +17pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:09·BAL 0, IND 3

   (10:09) (Run formation) 76-J.Reid reported in as eligible. 5-J.Flacco sacked at IND 14 for -11 yards (38-S.Brown).

   +14pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:44·BAL 0, IND 0

   (10:44) (Run formation) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 89-S.Smith to BAL 25 for 4 yards (29-M.Adams). FUMBLES (29-M.Adams), RECOVERED by IND-95-M.Hughes at BAL 22. 95-M.Hughes to BAL 22 for no gain (89-S.Smith).

   +14pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:11·BAL 0, IND 3

   (6:11) 1-P.McAfee punts 45 yards to BAL 35, Center-45-M.Overton. 12-J.Jones MUFFS catch, touched at BAL 35, RECOVERED by IND-32-C.Anderson at BAL 31. 32-C.Anderson to BAL 31 for no gain (44-K.Juszczyk). The Replay Official challenged the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +14pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:30·BAL 0, IND 3

   (5:30) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right INTERCEPTED by 92-H.Ngata [57-C.Mosley] at BAL 38. 92-H.Ngata to BAL 41 for 3 yards (78-G.Cherilus).

   +11pp

   BAL