Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 4:53·CHI 0, TEN 16

   (4:53) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 32-D.Montgomery to TEN 34 for -4 yards (98-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (98-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by TEN-33-D.King at TEN 37. 33-D.King for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-11-D.Mooney, Illegal Motion, declined.

   +13pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:15·CHI 0, TEN 0

   (11:15) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to TEN 34 for no gain (55-J.Brown; 94-J.Crawford).

   +10pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:47·CHI 0, TEN 9

   (4:47) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:33·CHI 0, TEN 10

   (6:33) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep middle to 88-R.Ridley to TEN 27 for 18 yards (33-D.King).

   +9pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:43·CHI 0, TEN 0

   (6:43) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 11-A.Brown to CHI 28 for 38 yards (59-D.Trevathan; 97-M.Edwards).

   +8pp

   TEN