Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:36·ATL 3, NO 3

   (:36) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan scrambles right end ran ob at NO 39 for 5 yards (24-V.Bell).

   +12pp

   ATL
2. 2
   Q4 · 15:00·ATL 19, NO 9

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 23-B.Hill for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 2, YAC 8

   +10pp

   ATL
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:00·ATL 10, NO 3

   (2:00) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones pushed ob at NO 18 for 54 yards (43-M.Williams). Pass 21, YAC 33

   +10pp

   ATL
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:48·ATL 13, NO 6

   (8:48) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 10-T.Smith to ATL 23 for 13 yards (27-D.Kazee). Pass 13, YAC 0

   +9pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:11·ATL 13, NO 6

   (7:11) 9-D.Brees sacked at ATL 16 for -6 yards (sack split by 97-G.Jarrett and 44-V.Beasley).

   +7pp

   ATL