Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:57·ARI 3, BAL 10

   (10:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 19-K.Johnson to BAL 10 for 31 yards (24-B.Carr) [41-A.Levine].

   +10pp

   ARI
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:50·ARI 9, BAL 20

   (14:50) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to BAL 25 for 54 yards (23-T.Jefferson).

   +9pp

   ARI
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:39·ARI 0, BAL 7

   (4:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 15-M.Brown.

   +7pp

   ARI
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:53·ARI 3, BAL 7

   (1:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 44 for 26 yards (32-B.Baker; 36-D.Swearinger). FUMBLES (32-B.Baker), and recovers at BAL 46. 89-M.Andrews to BAL 46 for no gain (32-B.Baker). Arizona challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:05·ARI 17, BAL 23

   (3:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 15-M.Brown to ARI 15 for 41 yards (20-T.Brock).

   +6pp

   BAL