Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:35·TB 19, CAR 22

   (:35) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 18 for -7 yards (99-K.Short). FUMBLES (99-K.Short) [99-K.Short], RECOVERED by CAR-90-J.Peppers at TB 18. 90-J.Peppers to TB 18 for no gain (3-J.Winston). PENALTY on TB-3-J.Winston, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 9 yards, enforced between downs.

   +18pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:40·TB 3, CAR 6

   (4:40) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 12-C.Godwin to CAR 11 for 70 yards (59-L.Kuechly).

   +17pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:58·TB 6, CAR 12

   7-P.Murray kicks 68 yards from TB 35 to CAR -3. 18-D.Byrd for 103 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:49·TB 19, CAR 15

   (9:49) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at TB 39 for -8 yards (95-R.Russell).

   +15pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:41·TB 3, CAR 3

   (13:41) 3-J.Winston FUMBLES (Aborted) at CAR 19, RECOVERED by CAR-90-J.Peppers at CAR 19. 90-J.Peppers to CAR 19 for no gain (32-J.Rodgers).

   +15pp

   CAR