Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:59·BAL 14, PIT 12

   (2:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q3 · 5:23·BAL 14, PIT 14

   (5:23) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 14-T.White to PIT 33 for 14 yards (31-N.Berhe; 21-S.Davis).

   +12pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:03·BAL 14, PIT 3

   (14:03) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 13-J.Brown pushed ob at PIT 13 for 71 yards (34-T.Edmunds).

   +10pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:02·BAL 7, PIT 0

   (10:02) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to PIT 31 for no gain (23-T.Jefferson). FUMBLES (23-T.Jefferson), RECOVERED by BAL-23-T.Jefferson at PIT 31. 23-T.Jefferson for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to PIT 31 for no gain (23-T.Jefferson). FUMBLES (23-T.Jefferson), RECOVERED by BAL-23-T.Jefferson at PIT 31. 23-T.Jefferson to PIT 31 for no gain (89-V.McDonald).

   +9pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:03·BAL 17, PIT 14

   (4:03) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

   +9pp

   BAL