Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 6:01·PIT 6, BAL 0

   (6:01) 34-A.Collins left tackle to BAL 31 for -1 yards (97-C.Heyward). FUMBLES (97-C.Heyward), RECOVERED by PIT-97-C.Heyward at BAL 28. 97-C.Heyward to BAL 28 for no gain (77-A.Howard).

   +15pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 11:20·PIT 3, BAL 0

   (11:20) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco to BAL 11 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at BAL 11. 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 8 for -8 yards (97-C.Heyward).

   +10pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:19·PIT 19, BAL 9

   (11:19) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 82-B.Watson INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Shazier at 50. 50-R.Shazier to BAL 48 for 2 yards (82-B.Watson).

   +9pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:33·PIT 19, BAL 0

   (13:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown to PIT 20 for no gain (22-J.Smith). Baltimore challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 32-E.Weddle (22-J.Smith) at PIT 18. 32-E.Weddle to PIT 18 for no gain.

   +8pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:48·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (5:48) 67-B.Finney reported in as eligible. 30-J.Conner left tackle ran ob at PIT 40 for 23 yards (22-J.Smith).

   +6pp

   PIT