Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:24·KC 21, PIT 19

   (:24) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 13-J.Washington for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-20-S.Nelson was injured during the play.

   +17pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:47·KC 27, PIT 21

   (12:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:44·KC 28, PIT 28

   (4:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to PIT 12 for 31 yards (51-J.Bostic).

   +10pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q3 · 3:19·KC 34, PIT 28

   (3:19) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Robinson. Kansas City challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 11-D.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:47·KC 41, PIT 28

   (13:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-C.Heyward]. Penalty on PIT-42-M.Burnett, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +9pp

   KAN