Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:14·KC 9, BUF 10

   (11:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 27-S.Smith at KC 0. 27-S.Smith for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +32pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 12:55·KC 19, BUF 13

   (12:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short middle to 11-T.Graham to BUF 16 for 3 yards (31-M.Cooper). FUMBLES (31-M.Cooper), RECOVERED by KC-91-T.Hali at BUF 11. 91-T.Hali for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +31pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:59·KC 0, BUF 6

   (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at KC 25.

   +17pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:31·KC 13, BUF 10

   (2:31) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short left to 28-C.Spiller pushed ob at KC 25 for 27 yards (23-K.Lewis). Flare pass, caught at KC 47.

   +14pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 15:00·KC 3, BUF 10

   (15:00) 28-C.Spiller up the middle to KC 19 for 61 yards (27-S.Smith).

   +9pp

   BUF