Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:09·TB 20, MIA 19

   (3:09) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass deep right to 10-K.Stills for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +39pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:04·TB 6, MIA 7

   (13:04) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle intended for 14-J.Landry INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander at MIA 30. 58-K.Alexander to MIA 10 for 20 yards (62-T.Larsen). PENALTY on MIA-62-T.Larsen, Face Mask (15 Yards), 5 yards, enforced at MIA 10.

   +22pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:07·TB 23, MIA 20

   (:07) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.

   +18pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:28·TB 20, MIA 20

   (2:28) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 12-C.Godwin to MIA 44 for 14 yards (30-C.Tankersley) [93-N.Suh].

   +16pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:54·TB 13, MIA 7

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 14-J.Landry to MIA 37 for 7 yards (29-R.Smith). FUMBLES (29-R.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-29-R.Smith at MIA 37. 29-R.Smith to MIA 37 for no gain (14-J.Landry). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +14pp

   TAM