Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·BUF 0, NE 0

   A.Vinatieri kicks 57 yards from NE 30 to BUF 13. S.Bryson to BUF 12 for -1 yards (R.Holmberg, T.Jones).

   +41pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:03·BUF 10, NE 9

   (9:03) J.Redmond right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 8:22·BUF 10, NE 3

   (8:22) J.Friesz pass intended for J.Redmond INTERCEPTED by J.Holecek at BUF 0. Touchback.

   +23pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q5 · 13:31·BUF 13, NE 13

   (13:31) L.Johnson punts 43 yards to BUF 35, Center-L.Paxton, downed by NE-T.Jones.

   +21pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q5 · 13:11·BUF 13, NE 13

   (13:11) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete to E.Moulds. PENALTY on NE-T.Law, Defensive Pass Interference, 22 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.

   +20pp

   BUF