Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:26·JAX 17, HOU 23

   (1:26) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass incomplete short left to 84-C.Shorts [21-K.Lewis].

   +30pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:06·JAX 9, HOU 7

   (3:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum pass short middle intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Gratz at JAX 45. 27-D.Gratz for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:03·JAX 10, HOU 14

   (5:03) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum sacked at HOU 25 for -6 yards (91-C.Clemons). FUMBLES (91-C.Clemons), RECOVERED by JAX-59-R.Davis at HOU 23. 59-R.Davis to HOU 23 for no gain (60-B.Jones).

   +20pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:00·JAX 17, HOU 23

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles left end to HOU 10 for 34 yards (34-A.Bouye). HOU-34-A.Bouye was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:24·JAX 17, HOU 23

   (2:24) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 84-C.Shorts to HOU 44 for 18 yards (26-D.Morris).

   +15pp

   JAX