Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:48·NE 20, BAL 24

   (1:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to BAL 23 for 12 yards (52-R.Lewis). PENALTY on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 23.

   +27pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:55·NE 20, BAL 24

   (:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 84-B.Watson. PENALTY on BAL-28-J.Winborne, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 13 - No Play.

   +20pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:26·NE 3, BAL 0

   (5:26) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass deep right to 81-D.Darling to NE 18 for 53 yards (36-J.Sanders).

   +17pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:08·NE 27, BAL 24

   (:08) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass deep right to 89-M.Clayton to NE 3 for 52 yards (52-E.Alexander).

   +17pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:55·NE 26, BAL 24

   (:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 10-J.Gaffney for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BAL-57-B.Scott, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. PENALTY on BAL-57-B.Scott, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +16pp

   NWE