Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:18·DAL 6, BUF 9

   (3:18) 17-K.Moore pass short left intended for 19-B.Butler INTERCEPTED by 59-A.Tarpley (21-L.McKelvin) at BUF 17. 59-A.Tarpley pushed ob at DAL 46 for 37 yards (20-D.McFadden). Slant pattern, deflected off B.Butler in coverage (L.McKelvin) before INT.

   +27pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:08·DAL 6, BUF 6

   (:08) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right intended for 15-C.Hogan INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Olatoye at DAL -5. Touchback.

   +16pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:10·DAL 6, BUF 6

   (1:10) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep left to 14-S.Watkins to DAL 8 for 37 yards (31-B.Jones). Caught at DAL 10. Penalty assessed from end of play. PENALTY on BUF-14-S.Watkins, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 8.

   +13pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:34·DAL 6, BUF 15

   (2:34) (Shotgun) 35-M.Gillislee right tackle for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: C.Hogan.

   +13pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:25·DAL 6, BUF 9

   (9:25) (Shotgun) 17-K.Moore pass short middle to 83-T.Williams to DAL 44 for 22 yards (37-N.Robey). Caught at DAL 37, crossing from right.

   +12pp

   DAL