Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:35·ARI 19, SF 13

   (2:35) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer scrambles left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   ARI
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:05·ARI 13, SF 13

   (4:05) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 14-J.Nelson to SF 1 for 34 yards (25-J.Ward) [96-C.Lemonier]. Caught at SF 4. 3-yds YAC

   +18pp

   ARI
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:40·ARI 0, SF 0

   (7:40) 2-D.Butler punts 47 yards to SF 38, Center-82-M.Leach. 10-B.Ellington MUFFS catch, touched at SF 38, RECOVERED by ARI-59-A.Fua at SF 39. 59-A.Fua to SF 39 for no gain (56-S.Skov).

   +16pp

   ARI
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:04·ARI 6, SF 3

   (:04) 9-P.Dawson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

   +15pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:20·ARI 13, SF 13

   (5:20) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald pushed ob at SF 31 for 11 yards (20-K.Acker). Caught at SF 32. 1-yd YAC

   +14pp

   ARI