Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:16·ARI 20, SF 22

   (1:16) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald to SF 23 for 8 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-35-E.Reid at SF 11. 35-E.Reid to SF 11 for no gain (15-M.Floyd). 12-yds of loose ball yardage.

   +21pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q2 · 11:13·ARI 7, SF 6

   (11:13) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right intended for 49-B.Miller INTERCEPTED by 37-Y.Bell (56-K.Dansby) at ARI 1. 37-Y.Bell to ARI 14 for 13 yards (76-A.Davis; 7-C.Kaepernick). The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right intended for 49-B.Miller INTERCEPTED by 37-Y.Bell (56-K.Dansby) at ARI 1. 37-Y.Bell to ARI 1 for no gain (49-B.Miller).

   +20pp

   ARI
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:50·ARI 0, SF 0

   (10:50) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle intended for 81-J.Dray INTERCEPTED by 35-E.Reid at SF 40. 35-E.Reid to ARI 7 for 53 yards (74-P.Fanaika).

   +18pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:18·ARI 6, SF 6

   (3:18) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at ARI 34. 66-yds YAC

   +16pp

   ARI
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:41·ARI 7, SF 14

   (8:41) D.Kilgore A.Snyder report as eligible 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ARI-66-A.Ta'amu, Defensive Offside, declined. Caught at SF 23. 23-yds YAC

   +11pp

   SFO